Where the Strongest Evidence Leads

The evidence free conclusion of an expert should be trusted only when:
No available, well-reasoned argument contradicts the conclusion.
The expert has relevant expertise on the issue.

Ricardo Hausmann makes a decent argument that large negative externality import taxes would do more to reduce Russian oil and methane profits than Western bans on their importation. But it's doubtful anyone in the establishments noticed. No one in the...

An important point about tit-for-tat conflicts: most sides regard themselves as the victims, no matter which sides objectively behave worse. This victimization mentality adds to outrage on other sides.
Many individuals act as if they would rather be killed in a tit-for-tat conflict, than stop the tit-for-tat downward spiral....

Many colleges are now dropping standardized tests. Having been around many, many high GPA, lower than expected test score students, I'll offer some small sample thoughts. For brevity, I'll refer to these students as GPAers.
GPAers tend to be hard working memorizers. On the plus side, they seldom sink into lifestyles of nihilism or detached irony. But they struggle with difficult abstract ideas, often frustrated, eventually deciding the abstract ideas must be worthless....