ROGER MONTGOMERY « Re-inventing the way you invest
ROGER MONTGOMERY. I joined Paul Turton on ABC Newcastle Mornings to talk about why markets are holding near all-time highs despite rising...
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2024 March quarter update on the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund « ROGER MONTGOMERY
During the March 2024 quarter, the Polen Capital Global Growth Fund (the Fund) increased by 12.49 per cent in Australian dollars, while its benchmark, the MSCI ACWI Net Total Return Index, in Australi...
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Is this another signal that a bubble is forming? « ROGER MONTGOMERY
From skirt lengths, to magazine covers to public protests and the rise of ant-establishment voting, signals are everywhere. And, as investors, we need to pay attention to them. Which is why the immine...
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ROGER MONTGOMERY « Re-inventing the way you invest
Let’s state the obvious right at the outset: No one knows for certain if the equity market will crash. The reality of investing is that we can rarely identify a bubble until after it has burst, which ...
Rogermontgomery.com news digest
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Is the creative destruction phase beginning?
Last year, I posted a blog entitled ‘But Nothing’s Changed’, describing how the artificial intelligence (AI) bubble and market boom could end. I explained how investors will realise that even though AI technology – hailed as the 4th Industrial Revolution...
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Decoys and lame ducks – why EV incentives miss the emissions problem
Having returned to work after a little rest and respite, I was recently confronted, nay, berated, by headlines about Labor’s deal to slash borrowing costs for electric vehicles (EVs) as it scrambles to meet climate targets.
While I was away, I saw the chart in Figure 1 and immediately realised the futility of our efforts to influence the global climate, concluding that Labor’s schemes appear to be driven by ideology rather than evidence.... -
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Investors are selling the disruptors and the disrupted
On December 18, in a blog entitled Time Magazine Cover Curse, I wrote, “…Gracing the cover of the [TIME] mag isn’t a coronation but a harbinger of doom, because the moment a public figure has permeated the public discourse sufficiently to land the cover...
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ABC Statewide Drive – market volatility signals a shift in thinking
On statewide drive with Jess Maguire, I explained that recent market volatility reflects investors reassessing some big assumptions, particularly after Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Walsh as the next U.S. Federal Reserve chair.
Many investors had been expecting lower U.S. interest rates, so the nomination caught markets off guard and forced a reversal of those bets. That led to sharp falls in gold and silver, higher bond yields, and weaker share prices. While precious metals...
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