Reflexivity in Finance

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Reflexivityfinance.blogspot.com news digest

  • 13 years

    US housing market - still weak

    Core logic came out with their house price index with data up to November. The data is repeat sale like the Case-Shiller index so should be reasonably reliable and covers all states so is broader than the Case-Shiller index which I commented on in my...

  • 13 years

    US housing markets - strongish centre and weak periphery

    The most recent Case-Shiller house prices (October data) for 20 cities in the US came out a few days ago. The overall impression is that house prices have begun to slowly weaken again following the expiry of the tax credit in April. This is relevant...

  • 15 years

    Latest US house price data

    OK the Case Shiller house price data is out today (for May). Last months data I pointed out an emerging trend.
    "5 cities that did not have a big boom, the change in prices was basically 0 over the last 2 months (with a range of -2% to +1%, while in the boom cities the average was -3.8% (range -1% to -7%). Clearly a significant difference, both statistically and...

  • 15 years

    Forclosures - a short or long term problem?

    Over at http://oldprof.typepad.com/a_dash_of_insight/2009/06/interpreting-housing-indicators.html Jeffrey A. Miller has a good post on seasonality in data and on house prices in particular.
    On the latest Case-Shiller US housing price data the most interesting thing I found (based on the more reliable seasonally adjusted data) was that for the 5 cities that did not have a big boom, the change in prices was basically 0 over the last 2 months...

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