Political Arithmetik
Political Arithmetik Blogspot. Where numbers and politics meet..
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Best pages on Politicalarithmetik.blogspot.com
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Where numbers and politics meet.
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Political Arithmetik: National Journal 2006 Liberal/Conservative Scores
All these graphs plus large format poster-size extras are available in high resolution .pdf format here . National Journal released their 20...
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Political Arithmetik: Polling Errors in New Hampshire
Wednesday, January 09, 2008 Polling Errors in New Hampshire Hillary Clinton's stunning win over Barack Obama in New Hampshire is not only sure to be a legendary comeback but equally sure to become a...
Politicalarithmetik.blogspot.com news digest
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12 years
We've Moved to PollsAndVotes.com
In the beginning was PoliticalArithmetik, created the weekend Katrina hit New Orleans.
In 1996 I co-founded Pollster.com. In 2010 HuffingtonPost bought Pollster and I moved on.
In 2011 I've created PollsAndVotes.com, a site for more comprehensive analysis of polling and vote data. PollsAndVotes is ramping up for 2012. Come visit.... -
15 years
Undecided Voters and Racial Attitudes
How will undecided voters break, and will racial attitudes color their votes?
We've seen an enormous amount of speculation but little evidence based on data, so let's try to tip the balance back to empirical evidence.
Thanks to the Diageo/Hotline tracking poll data, we can model individual vote choice and see what we would expect of undecided voters.... -
15 years
(Click chart to see full size)
It takes 270 to win this game. McCain is behind in national polls, down 7.5 in our Pollster.com Trend Estimate. But as you know, this is a game won in the states. So what does it now take for McCain to eek out a 270-268 electoral vote win?... -
15 years
There are six daily tracking polls currently reporting data, up from just two (Gallup and Rasmussen) during most of the year. How are they doing?
Compared to our Pollster.com trend estimate based on all public polls, not too bad. The trend based on trackers only is close to that for the all polls trend, with an average difference of just 0.35 percentage points, a very slight under-estimate of...
Domain history
Web host: | Google LLC |
Registrar: | MarkMonitor Inc. |
Registrant: | Google LLC |
Updated: | June 29, 2023 |
Expires: | July 31, 2024 |
Created: | July 31, 2000 |
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